Archive - PauloMacro’s Substack

Turning the Page on 2024 in Gratitude

A note of thanks

Dec 22 •

Fly on the Wall with Shrub & Cloudbear - Dec 14th, 2024

The Golden Age of Grift, Max Stupid, and a Big Opportunity for 2025

Dec 14 •

and

1:09:27

Max Stupid → Max Pain

The Year is Not Over: Will equities de-risk and de-gross as bonds get sloppy on a possible US Liz Truss Moment?

Dec 13 •

Revisiting the Demographic Event Horizon as Financial Nihilism Explodes

A discussion of the current speculation and market fragility along with a heap of charts

Dec 8 •

Please Not Another Bitcoin Post...

As the crypto world rejoices at the $100k achievement and parties are planned, perfectly timed with the holiday celebrations, a conversation yesterday…

Dec 5 •

Uranium & A Key Upcoming Catalyst

A look at a key potential catalyst that could help the uranium price start working again.

Dec 1 •

November 2024

Thoughts on the Long Bond, Yen, & Equity Risk

Growing increasingly concerned as the broader market plays for happy Santa

Nov 26 •

The Momentum Factor Should Concern Us All

By now it’s no secret that the US equity market has become a giant Momentum Concoction brewed from the ingredients of 1) a persistent, price-insensitive…

Nov 20 •

The Nifty Fifty & The Rollover Syndrome

A deep dive into the striking parallels of the current US equity market to the 1970s Nifty Fifty

Nov 16 •

Bullish on Brazil Part 2 Plus New Thoughts

Updating my bullish thesis from early September plus some pending topics

Nov 10 •

Loose Thoughts on Post Election

A few random thoughts post election on the Fed, Commodities/Oil, Yen, Revisiting Brazil + an idea, Gold, and some Housekeeping

Nov 6 •

Prelude to the Election, Reloading on Uranium, Oil, and Podcast Appearance

Election comment, Uranium, Oil, and a Podcast appearance

Nov 4 •

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